Economics

Decided. Most questions already have an answer the market believes.

as of 2026-08-25 23:27 UTC·gamma-api

Conviction spread

$2.5M / 24h

864 open markets · 160 events

0c25c50c75c100c

contested 2.3%settled 75.2%priced 863

52cWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?$6k

+6cWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?$6k

+5cStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$324k

+4cWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$13k

+2cWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5k

-2cWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$360k

+1cWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$429k

-1cWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$8k

-1cFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$10k

-1cNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$10k

+1cFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$8k

0cWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$32k

+0cWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$14k

+0cWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$41k

+0cWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$9k

Fed Decision in September?$1.7M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$324k

Largest Company end of August?$102k

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?$66k

Largest Company end of September?$58k

Largest Company end of December 2026?$27k

3rd Largest Company end of September?$19k

Fed Decision in October?$16k

Fed rate cut by...?$13k

Fed rate hike in 2026?$13k

Fed rate hike by...?$12k

Bank of England decision in September?$12k

USD x Iranian rials End of August?$11k

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026$11k