Tech

Decided. Most questions already have an answer the market believes.

as of 2026-08-25 23:27 UTC·gamma-api

Conviction spread

$826k / 24h

2,517 open markets · 294 events

0c25c50c75c100c

contested 2.6%settled 81.0%priced 2,517

46cWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?$2k

47cWill Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?$2k

48cWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?$2k

52cTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?$1k

47cWill Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?$1k

-16cWill Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?$5k

-14cNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$13k

-10cWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$12k

-8cWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?$9k

+4cWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$13k

-4cDoes Ox Alpha belong to Safe Superintelligence?$5k

+4cDoes Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?$57k

-3cGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?$9k

-3cDoes Ox Alpha belong to Xiaomi?$5k

+2cWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5k

-1cWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$8k

+1cWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$7k

+1cWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$8k

0cWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$32k

Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?$124k

Largest Company end of August?$102k

Which company has best AI model end of August?$91k

Largest Company end of September?$58k

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?$32k

Largest Company end of December 2026?$27k

Which company has the best AI model end of September?$25k

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?$23k

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?$21k

GPT-6 released by…?$19k

3rd Largest Company end of September?$19k

What will Zoom say during their next earnings call?$15k

Gemini 4.0 released by...?$11k

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?$11k